Te Matapae i te Huringa Ao: Te Hekenga Pea o ngā Tukunga Waro i te Tau 2024

Kei te piki haere te tumanako o ngā tohunga āhuarangi mō tētahi wā tino nui i roto i te pakanga ki te huringa āhuarangi—Tērā pea ka tīmata te hekenga o ngā tukunga mai i te rāngai pūngao i te tau 2024. E hangai ana tēnei ki ngā matapae o mua a te International Energy Agency (IEA), e matapae ana i tētahi taumata nui mō te whakaiti i ngā tukunga i waenganui o te tekau tau 2020.

Tata ki te toru hauwhā o ngā tukunga hau kati kōtuhi o te ao e ahu mai ana i te rāngai pūngao, ā, he mea nui te hekenga kia tutuki ai te kore tukunga i te tau 2050. Ko tēnei whāinga nui, i tautokona e te Rōpū Whakahaere ā-Rohe o ngā Whenua o te Ao mō te Huringa Āhuarangi, e kiia ana he mea nui hei whakawhāiti i te pikinga o te pāmahana ki te 1.5 nekehanga Celsius, me te karo i ngā hua kino rawa atu o te raruraru āhuarangi.

Te Pātai o "Kia Pēhea te Roa"

Ahakoa e whakaarohia ana e te World Energy Outlook 2023 a te IEA he tihi o ngā tukunga e pā ana ki te pūngao "i te tau 2025," e kī ana tētahi tātaritanga a te Carbon Brief i tētahi tihi o mua i te tau 2023. Ko tēnei wā tere e kīia ana ko te raruraru pūngao i puta mai i te whakaekenga a Rūhia ki Ukraine.

E whakanui ana a Fatih Birol, te kaiwhakahaere matua o te IEA, ehara te pātai i te "mēnā" engari ko te "āhea te roa" ka eke ai ngā tukunga ki tōna taumata tiketike, e whakaatu ana i te hiahia nui o te take.

Ahakoa ngā āwangawanga, he mea nui te mahi a ngā hangarau iti-waro. E matapaetia ana e te tātaritanga Carbon Brief ka piki ake te whakamahinga o te waro, te hinu, me te hau i te tau 2030, nā te tipu "kore e taea te aukati" o ēnei hangarau.

Pūngao Whakahou i Haina

Ko Haina, te whenua whakaputa waro nui rawa atu o te ao, kei te mahi nui ia ki te whakatairanga i ngā hangarau iti-waro, e whai wāhi ana ki te hekenga o te ōhanga wahie pūmua. Ahakoa te whakaae ki ngā teihana hiko waro hou hei whakatutuki i ngā hiahia pūngao, e kī ana tētahi rangahau hou nā te Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) tera pea ka eke te nui o ngā tukunga o Haina ki te taumata teitei i te tau 2030.

Ko te whakapau kaha a Haina ki te whakatōpū i te kaha o te pūngao hou i te tau 2030, hei wāhanga o tētahi mahere ā-ao me ētahi atu kaihaina 117, e tohu ana i tētahi panonitanga nui. E kī ana a Lauri Myllyvirta o CREA, tera pea ka uru ngā tukunga o Haina ki tētahi "hekenga hanganga" mai i te tau 2024 i te mea ka tutuki i ngā pūngao hou te tono mō te pūngao hou.

Te Tau Tino Wera

I te whakaaroaro ki te tau wera rawa atu i tuhia i te marama o Hūrae 2023, me te pāmahana i te teitei rawa atu i roto i te 120,000 tau, kei te akiakihia e ngā tohunga te mahi tere o te ao. E whakatūpato ana te World Meteorological Organization kei te puta te whakangaromanga me te pouri i roto i te āhuarangi kino, me te whakanui i te hiahia mō ngā mahi tere me te whānui ki te whawhai ki te huringa āhuarangi.